Model Description:
A Bayesian model to predict the number of maternal deaths. This models takes into consideration the Janani Suraksha Yojana scheme and its benefits while predicting Maternal Deaths. It also considers other parameters like number of hospitals, ambulances, etc. Dependency relationships between the nodes are established from government reports and published literature.
Node / Attribute:
The above model is based on the following nodes. The color scheme used represents the type of node/attribute. (Purple – Independent node; Orange – Dependent node; Red – Target node)
Node / Attribute
Description
Data Source
Estimated Total Pregnancies
Estimated number of pregnant women
KAG 2020-21
Number of Beneficiaries Availed Janani Suraksha Yojana (JSY)
Number of women enrolled under the scheme
KAG 2020-21
Number of Primary Health Centers compliant with Indian Public Health Standards
Number of Primary Health Centers compliant with Indian Public Health Standards
KAG 2020-21
Number of pregnant women registered for antenatal care (ANC)
Number of pregnant women registered for antenatal care (ANC)
KAG 2020-21
Number of women registered for ANC within 1st trimester
Number of women registered for ANC within 1st trimester
KAG 2020-21
Number of Home Deliveries attended by Skilled Birth Attendants (SBA)
Number of Home Deliveries attended by Skilled Birth Attendants (SBA)
KAG 2020-21
Number of Ayush Hospitals
Number of Ayush Hospitals
KAG 2020-21
Number of Ambulances
Number of Ambulances
KAG 2020-21
Number of institutional deliveries
No. of pregnant women delivering in a hospital
KAG 2020-21
Number of deliveries at home
No. of pregnant women delivering at home
KAG 2020-21
Number of Beneficiaries who received the Madilu kit
Number of Beneficiaries who received the Madilu kit
KAG 2020-21
Maternal Deaths (Target Variable)
Number of prenatal/postnatal deaths happened
KAG 2020-21
Node Description Table
Intervention Modeling
It sets the network variables to specific levels, to track the changes in the target variable in the network. For instance: If we fix the value of the variable ‘Number of Beneficiaries availed Janani Suraksha Yojana_1338’ to ‘high’, then we would study the impact of this intervention on the target variable i.e., “Maternal Deaths” of the network across varieties of Taluks in Karnataka.
Intervention Code
Intervening Node
Description
Ease of Intervention
[1-most difficult, 5-easy]
Total Models Related
Related Models
Domains
Data Stories impacted upon intervention
I1
Number of Beneficiaries availed Janani Suraksha Yojana
_1338
Promoting the JSY scheme in order to be able to give more medical care to Pregnant Women will reduce the number of maternal deaths. Beneficiaries can be increased by spending more resources on deploying more ASHA workers and spreading awareness amongst the general public.
3
4
1. Child Malnutrition
2. Child Stunting
3. Child Wasting
4. Severe Anemia in Pregnant Women
Health
I2
Number Of Aayush Hospitals
Increasing the number of Aayush hospitals will provide easier access to medical resources for pregnant women. Also as the number of hospitals increase, due to immediate medical attention available in case of any complication during pregnancy maternal deaths will go down.
2
3
1. Child Stunting
2. Child Wasting
3. Severe Anemia in Pregnant Women
Health
I3
Number of Ambulances
With an increase in number of ambulances, pregnant women’s transport to nearest hospital/medical clinic is made easier. This facilitates immediate medical attention available in case of any complication during pregnancy and will help maternal deaths go down.
4
2
1. Child Stunting
2. Child Wasting
Health
I4
Number of women registered for ANC within 1st trimester
As more and more women register for ANC in the first trimester, medical care and attention can be given from the beginning. With help of regular tests, any problems can be perceived in the earlier stages only and can be cured.
4
1
1. Severe Anemia in Pregnant Women
Health
I5
No. of institutional deliveries_1350
By promoting institutional deliveries through schemes and ads not limited to but including JSY we can aim at educating women on child nourishment and the care to be taken to ensure nourishment through counseling by doctors and professionals at the hospitals.
